Tuesday, April 27, 2010

Let me get some ketchup so I can eat my words

Okay, now that the circus is over, the time has come to evaluate our predictions.

RankPredictedActual
1Kolkata Knight RidersChennai Super Kings
2Bangalore Royal ChallengersMumbai Indians
3Delhi DaredevilsBangalore Royal Challengers
4Kings XI PunjabDeccan Chargers
5Mumbai IndiansDelhi Daredevils
6Chennai Super KingsKolkata Knight Riders
7Deccan ChargersRajasthan Royals
8Rajasthan RoyalsKings XI Punjab


As the alert reader will notice, we managed to make only eight mistakes out of a grand total of eight. Now I am not one to make excuses, so I will not try to wriggle out of this embarrassment. Instead I will point out the probability of getting every single rank wrong if I were to guess wildly --- around 37%.

3 comments:

Sameer D. Sahasrabuddhe said...

Perhaps there is a better way to grade your performance. Compare the number of teams that each team is ahead of in the ranking, against the number that you predicted, for example!

Dr Roshan R said...

KKR !! Really ? :)

Asterix said...

@sameer: Man, whatever the grading strategy, I found the 100% erroneous results, for lack of a better word, interesting.

@roshan: It was the underdog's law speaking through me. Little did I know that Ganguly's ego will yet again prevail his performance.